I’ve thought a lot about this over the years. I’ve worked in the rail industry, and talked to a lot of good people (one of the CFOs of the SIRR comes to mind), and most of us have seen it simply as a mismatch of priorities.
But why? Is it just politics? Sure, that explains a lot, but it’s been going on for years. Sure, Amtrak was designed to fail, and despite the worst intentions of many politicians, it has succeeded in limping along.
Part of it is that everybody has visions of running trains, being the legacy-builders of a working high-speed interstate railroad, that they see their visions as truth.
Amtrak is in a no-win situation, not because it has failed, but because it has succeeded enough to attract attention of pipe-dreamers who get easily distracted, and beancounters who see the dollars without the impending chaos. Nobody will want Amtrak fiscally or politically.
So if Amtrak shuts down, what’s going to happen? What’s the worst situation? First, there would be schedule chaos to affected regional commuters, then the govt. would quickly create emergency laws to get something running, deferring the inevitable fiscal biting-of-the-bullet.
I know some people probably thought Warrington was an idiot, but if you were a bureaucrat what would you do? Answer: spend money on show projects, increase overhead arbitrarily (either by mistake or design) and decrease expenditures on revenue-resources (shrink your market by driving away certain types of customers while courting influential businessmen), promising fiscal independence while simultaneously (through simple negligence or nefarious planning) push for insolvency.
What’s this do? This forces the government to make a decision if the system totally snaps. Not just a shutdown, but a 30-day gridlock. The so-called “big-business” Republicans pu***he rail system in big-government solution-socialist waters where they can safely abandon it to the Democrats, who make a mess of the uni