OK, fair enough. For starters, compare the distances between a couple of the bigger cities in Germany, Japan, and then in France. Maybe also do Switzerland and Italy. [Make sure they’re all in miles.]
Next, compare those distances with the distances between New York City and Chicago, NYC and Boston, Washington, D.C. and Atlanta, Chicago and Dallas, Seattle and Los Angeles, and any others you care to choose.
Then, see if there’s a relationship in the magnitude of the distances in the U.S. as compared with those in Europe. In my experience, that’s a common fallacy among people from Europe when they come to the U.S. for the first time - esp. those from Germany. They have no sense of the scale of this country - they think they can easily drive from NYC to Dallas in a day.
As for the other countries that you reference - India and China - they are much larger, and I’m not familiar enough with the specific routes there to know if the relationship holds out there as well.
To go to the next level of sophistication [which still isn’t much], then look at the relative population densities - persons per square mile or square kilometer - for each of those metropolitan areas. Again, observe if there’s a relationship.
Finally, although you claim to eschew government ownership and funding of electrification, each of the countries that you mention has, I believe, installed electrification either as a state-owned railroad, or with significant government funding. In several of those, it was a component of rebuilding from World War II’s devastation, which practically took a generation to achieve. The differences between those situations and ours, I think, explain much.
I’m pro-electrification. But doing it in the U.S. is on a scale with first building the railroad network, or t