Right now, the industry uses well over 10,000 tank cars, and 19,500 covered hoppers. These are very conservative numbers since I really have no idea how many privates aside from the TILX, UTLX, GATX, CITX, ADMX, MWCX, ACFX, DBUX, and FURX fleet are out there. Trinity alone has produced since 2001, it’s 635200 to 648900 series 6300 cubic foot covered hoppers for this service.
I expect the industry will continue, but need to tighten it’s belt further. In addition, it will have no choice but to increase prices. Personally, I don’t want to see the tens of thousands of direct jobs, and who knows how many ancillary jobs go away.
City folks who are mostly the big naysayers of Ethanol, have no idea what this has done for rural America in the way of investments. Where I work, it includes five plants, with a total direct investment of $468 million, 99% of which was private funding or farmers shares. A bare minimum of 230 jobs for those five plants. Indirect investments, such as the costs for railroads is about $8 or $9 million locally now. Add to it, trucking companies for CO² and wet DDG, local track maintenance companies, a transload terminal, mechanical contractors, and inspection firms.
End terminals as well have spent hundreds of millions to handle this traffic. The big players, UP, CP, CN, CSX, NS, and BN have heavily competed, and are still competing for this business.
Grain elevator managers are also reliant upon these plants, as it has removed a lot of risk from their shoulders. No longer do they have to worry about export prices and transport (or how much they