NEC HSR future by ARRA and PRIIA reports
Now that the ARRA awards for the initial MSR projects have commenced; a review of the NEC proposals and the effects of the awards announced Jan 27th need comparing. Since almost 25% of all AMTRAK revenue comes from ACELA the NEC needs not to be forgotten. All of the below comes from AMTRAK documents or other entities.
By train miles the NEC is at 100% + of capacity NYP – Newark, NJ. No mention was made of the ARC NJ Transit tunnels to NYP and their possible effects on capacity mainly because of dates of publication; except that are needed. Capacity is above 75% Stamford – Trenton, plus sections into BOS, Wilmington, and Baltimore. Train miles are now 19M/yr & 26M by 2030. 1975 was about 10M the year AMTRAK took possession. By 2030 2 dozen NEC segments are expected to be over 100%. If the number of trains are limited or will be limited then trains need to be lengthened.
FY 08 &09 had about 10.9M passengers on the NEC and it is expected to increase 60% to 17M+ by 2030. These figures are only the NEC spine and do not take into account any feeder traffic increase whether Maine, Springfield, Albany, Harrisburg, or any of the commuter lines. Further any additional trains added that may feed into the NEC such as Harrisburg. Also the Lynchburg & additional RIC trains were not counted so there may be even more than the 60%. The next problem; capacity constraints at many stations on the NEC. Many stations cannot even take the length of two ACELAs coupled (not enough ACELA train sets built is another factor) together. Only solution is if regional