OK, even from a business standpoint here is the basic problem with preorders in this business.
A model train locomotive or rolling stock is not a “stand alone” product. You need track, structures, scenery, controls, etc, etc, to build a model railroad.
Part of the motivation to spend any of this money is based on a reasonable assumption that you will be able to get the parts as you need and can afford them - at least the major parts and pieces.
The groecery store does expect you to “preorder” milk, they just assume you will come in and buy when you need it.
If more and more of the pieces of the “Model Railroad Puzzle” become harder to obtain, fewer people will have the desire or confidence to invest any money or time in the first place.
And if the models of interest to them are seldom available, they will become more discouraged.
This leaves the sale of model trains to a smaller customer base, weeding out the more serious “modeler” types in favor of those who just radomly “collect” expensive RTR models of locomotives. To be VERY blunt - if this hobby was only about “COLLECTING” RTR model trains, I would not be in it, and the 3-4 thousand dollars I have spent nearly every year for 40 years would be in my bank, or in some other hobby.
A smart industry would want the largest possible customer base.
So from where I sit, the more product that is “in stock”, the bigger the selection of roadnames, prototypes, etc, the more oppertunity there is to grow the hobby and the industry and thereby sell more.
“just in time” works in some industies, it is not working well in this one.
Right now it is locos and cars, but what if this preorder thing gets to structures, track, control systems???
Personally, I’m glad I already have a large percentage of the locos, cars, track, controls, etc, etc, that I need. Because this type of market would b