Well, I’m 63, born in 1957, my teens were the late 60’s and early 70’s. I have no interest in the trains of that era.
I never saw a steam locomotive in regular service - except, I have been watching #90 at Strasburg almost since the day she arrived in 1967…
And I know lots of guys my age who model present day OR time periods even earlier than my 1954 era.
So much for the idea that "most " people model the trains of their youth. 10 years behind the counter of a train store, and 50 years in this hobby has not backed up that theory one bit.
Looking at all age groups, my guess is one third of modelers choose the era of their youth.
The boomers, of which I am the tail end, represent a big group of modelers for a lot of the reasons Paul3 mentioned. So even a 1/3 of the older half of us is a lot of 1950’s or very early 60’s modelers.
No doubt that interest will shift.
But I will point out for the 100th time. When I started modeling in 1968, the 70’s, 80’s, 90’s, 00’s, 10’s and now, did not exist to choose from.
Some people change eras, some people don’t…
I think the era that was once popular that has lost a large precentage of modelers is the 1900 to 1920 period wihch was a popular choice among more serious modelers when I was a teen.
Same is true of the 1940’s.
The depths of the depression may have never been a popular era, but back then it seemed that the eras either side of the depression were.
I think Paul3 made some excellent points about why the 50’s has been so popular, but I’m not sure the 60’s or 70’s will be the era that replaces it.
I think there will be more growth in modeling present day, or the “recent” past as the boomers disappear from the scene.
Sheldon