Keep in mind that LGV means âlignes a grande vitesseâ and refers exclusively to track and signal design, not trains (which are âtrains a grande vitesseâ or TGV.
All the replacements for Amfleet I have seen (and the associated RFP) have implicitly followed PRIIA (which is 125mph âHrSRâ as maximum expected speed. The current âstate of the artâ for something like the Airo trains is âbetterâ than the Pioneer III derived trucks and suspension on Amfleet, but I have not studied the particular physical systems they intend to use for peak-speed lateral compliance. I am almost 100% sure it would not be active even if the trains are given ânegative cant deficiencyâ tilt.
That is a function of track maintenance, and up to recently involved considerable âhumanâ operation even where advanced European or Asian track equipment or TLMs were available. If you look at the history of the âzeroth generationâ of Shin Kansen from the early 1960s, line and surface were beat to death in less than about six weeksâ time, and some large number of hundreds of millions of yen were reported as necessary to maintain track geometry even remotely to support that (now pathetically slow) âhigh speedâ operation.
More modern LGV track with internal shock absorption (for example pads and elastic fixation) can work with low-unspring-mass suspension to reduce chronic maintenance⌠but it will still be âmore necessaryâ to monitor and PROMPTLY adjust any anomalies. Naturally this is easier on properly-engineered high-speed lines with 12-mile-radius horizontal and vertical curves that are not subjected to freight loadsâŚ
Meanwhile there remains that alarming study of the first-generation âporkyâ Acela on the section of the NEC maintained by Metro-North, where vertical shock in excess of 189g (!!!) was recorded. I would doubt on first principles that any railroad producing that level of acceleration â whether from transient negotiation of switches or some other overlooked cause â is going to have necessary care for lateral acceleration, particularly in curves where you already need two more orders in your track-mechanics differential equations for the jerk in curving accommodation.
As you probably know from reading the interminable âsecond-spineâ discussions, it is well-recognized and accepted that a great amount of the existing NEC trackage will never be suited for speeds much in excess of 165mph⌠âspeeding America into the Fiftiesâ indeed â and achieving even remotely suitable geometry in much of New England would only be possible on extensive viaduct construction. How likely do you think that will be?
[quote]
And whatâs in the offing for non-NEC intercity rail? Makes me wonder whether the limitations of steel wheel on steel rail might be best superseded one day by maglevâbut thatâs a topic for another time.
Non-NEC intercity rail will mostly be either 79mph (on routes shared with freight traffic) or 90 to 110mph kludgery. The care involved in going from 90 up to 110 is enormously expensive, but sealed-corridor alone to get to 125mph is enormous by comparison⌠all of it needing to be paid for entirely by the passenger entities whatever they may be. Above 125 there can be no grade crossings of any kind⌠which I just donât see happening here in my lifetime.
Maglev outside dedicated corridors is a cost nonstarter here, particularly when high-speed rail even to 350 km/h involves less grading and careful alignment. Itâs an interesting technology, but essentially nowhere near as flexible as two-rail, and it requires full decicated guideways and usually intrusive support structure everywhere. Its only real âprovenâ use is point-to-point bridging between airports and perceived city or traffic centers, with the âspeedâ advantages largely squandered by internal airport and city âlast-mileâ circulation and transport; it might have some role as connection to a putative HSR backbone but that role is much better filled by HrSR and hybrid air taxis.
The Chinese say they are working on a dynamically suspended alternative to maglev that will operate in a partially-evacuated tube, a bit like a less-goofy version of Hyperloop. They claim to be working up to over 1000 peak mph. Do not expect me to ride it.