Found this old email while looking in vain through my boxes of files for the ABC-Naco spec sheet on three axle bogies. It is a cost comparison of steam/coal vs diesel locomotive fuel costs (using 2002 numbers) provided by noted transportation and energy researcher Harry Valentine:
"Diesel costs about $1.00 per gallon (USA), or 141,531 Btu/$
A 3000 hp diesel loco uses 21,814,290 Btu/hr @ 35% efficiency.
Works out to $154/hr or $5.14 per mile @ 30mph.
#2 diesel has 19,000 Btu/lb
A loco using high grade coal ($40/ton – 675,000 Btu/$) runs at about 15% efficiency (GPCS firebox, etc). At 3000 hp, it uses 51,000,000 Btu/hr @ 15% efficiency, or $75.41/hr fuel cost. At 30 mph, this works out to $2.52 per mile. High grade coal has up to 14,000 btu/lb.
A loco using low grade coal ($5.00/ton – 3,520,000 Btu/$) will run at about 12% efficiency (GPCS firebox, insulation, etc.). A 3,000 hp loco would use 63,625,000 Btu/hr @ 12% efficiency, or $18.18 per hour. At 30 mph, this would be $0.61 per mile."
If we upgrade the relative fuel costs to reflect current pricing, how does this dynamic change?
If we take out the high grade coal section and just focus on diesel vs low grade coal, the 2002 numbers suggest that the cost per mile of using diesel was 8 times the cost of using low grade coal. This is probably 10 times difference by now.
At what point would the fuel cost differential swing in favor of steam over diesel?